中国铜冶炼企业的竞争趋势及对策建议

文章分析了我国大型及中小型铜冶炼企业所面临竞争环境,提出了我国铜冶炼企业应采取的对策建议,即:联合进口原料;走大型企业联合之路,组建中国铜业集团;开发利用海外资源;加大国内资源勘探;继续进行技改、挖潜,提高企业竞争力等。     

我国煤炭资源产业循环经济发展策略研究

在系统分析的基础上提出煤炭资源产业循环经济发展策略:研发、推广环境友好技术和先进技术包括清洁开采技术、推广和利用水煤浆、先进火力发电技术等进行生产;改变狭义的资源观,用好“废物”资源,如矿井水、煤层气、粉煤灰等;发展煤炭资源深加工,提高产品附加值;行业耦合发展,如煤电联营,提高资源利用效率;大力发展节能技术,减少煤炭资源消耗。并为我国煤炭资源产业发展循环经济的产业政策提出了几点建议。     

Modelling the effects of dam removal on migratory walleye (Sander vitreus) early life‐history stages

Many dams in the USA have outlived their intended purpose and an increasing number are being considered for removal. Yet, quantitative studies of the potential physical, biological and ecological responses are needed to assess dam removal decisions. In this paper, the responses of migratory walleye (Sander vitreus) to increased spawning habitat availability as a result of dam removal was studied by comparing scenarios with and without a high‐head dam in the Sandusky River (Ohio), a major tributary to Lake Erie. A conceptual, ecological model was proposed to define the relationship between hydrodynamics and walleye spawning, egg hatching, larval drift and survival. A mathematical, ecological model of the early life‐history stages was then developed and coupled with time series of depth and velocity predictions over the spawning grounds from a 1‐D hydrodynamic model. Model simulations were run for 1984–1993 for both the with‐ and without‐dam scenarios to assess the potential benefit of dam removal. The simulation results demonstrated that velocity, depth and water temperature are major factors influencing adult walleye spawning success. Without the dam, 10 times the amount of spawning habitat would be available for walleye to spawn. This increase in spawning habitat area resulted in up to five times the total egg deposition and seven times the larval output to the nursing grounds, based on the assumption that 5% of the walleye population of Lake Erie migrated up the Sandusky River to spawn. We concluded that the spawning habitat in the current condition (with the dam) is limiting and additional spawning habitat upstream could significantly increase the number of larval walleye drifting to Lake Erie. The model sensitivity analysis showed that the number of walleye migrating up the river in spring is the dominant factor for larval recruitment to the lake. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A Bayesian propensity score adjustment for latent variable modeling and MCMC algorithm

The estimation of the differences among groups in observational studies is frequently inaccurate owing to a bias caused by differences in the distributions of covariates. In order to estimate the average treatment effects when the treatment variable is binary, Rosenbaum and Rubin [1983. The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika 70, 41-55] proposed an adjustment method for pre-treatment variables using propensity scores. Imbens [2000. The role of the propensity score in estimating dose-response functions. Biometrika 87, 706-710] extended the propensity score methodology for estimation of average treatment effects with multivalued treatments.However, these studies focused only on estimating the marginal mean structure. In many substantive sciences such as the biological and social sciences, a general estimation method is required to deal with more complex analyses other than regression, such as testing group differences on latent variables. For latent variable models, the EM algorithm or the traditional Monte Carlo methods are necessary. However, in propensity score adjustment, these methods cannot be used because the full distribution is not specified.In this paper, we propose a quasi-Bayesian estimation method for general parametric models that integrate out the distributions of covariates using propensity scores. Although the proposed Bayes estimates are shown to be consistent, they can be calculated by existing Markov chain Monte Carlo methods such as Gibbs sampler. The proposed method is useful to estimate parameters in latent variable models, while the previous methods were unable to provide valid estimates for complex models such as latent variable models.We also illustrated the procedure using the data obtained from the US National Longitudinal Survey of Children and Youth (NLSY1979-2002) for estimating the effect of maternal smoking during pregnancy on the development of the child's cognitive functioning.     

未结盟大学的联盟

通过梳理管理学界对战略联盟的定义，发现价值链的鸸释同样适用于大学问的战略联盟。通过对已有的大学战略联盟的分析，提出了名校联盟与非名校联盟间的若干差异，最后提出了我国大学联盟战略的若干建议。     

对河南铝工业发展的几点建议

从全国及河南省铝工业的发展现状入手，分析了河南铝工业的优势及发展中存在的不足。阐述了发展河南铝工业应把握的几个主要问题，并提出了自己的建议和看法。     

小梁现象的社会经济思考

以山西省河津市小梁乡为代表,研究了因建筑业的发展壮大而产生的社会经济空心化现象,分析了其形成原因,并提出了解决措施,以期引起大家对这一社会经济现象的关注,开展更深层次的研究。     

需水胁迫下的流域"三生"用水系统演化分析

生态用水和社会经济用水的竞争状况使得研究水资源短缺地区流域“三生”用水系统演化状况,以及有效进行流域“三生”用水系统的调控十分必要。从宏观角度出发,本文提出了构建流域主要指标为状态变量下的“三生”用水系统演化模拟模型,并利用模型进行演化趋势预测的分析思路。以蓟运河流域为例,构建了人口数量、人均GDP、生态系统指数以及生态用水比例为状态变量的“三生”用水系统演化模型。通过定量模拟,表明若不加以调控,该流域最终将走向生态失衡、经济停滞的恶性局面。由参数设置对调控方案进行分析,提出了提高生态用水比例、控制经济增长速度、提高用水效率和积极进行生态建设对策,为实现蓟运河流域的“三生”用水系统可持续发展服务。     

道路边坡生态防护初探

随着我国经济实力的增强和人们环保意识的提高，国家已经十分重视道路建设中的生态建设和环境保护。通过对已建道路边坡防护方式进行分析，找出了存在的问题，提出改善和提高道路边坡防护的方法，并通过工程实例进一步得到验证。     

Heterogeneous chain propagation in low-pressure flames

An analysis of papers on hydrogen combustion at low pressures is performed, which refines the contribution of the catalytic reactions on the reactor wall to the gas-phase part of the process. A new model for the heterogeneous loss of active reaction centers was proposed and tested experimentally to explain inconsistencies that occur in some papers. In this model, the diffusion region of chain termination is formed under standard experimental conditions in vacuum oxyhydrogen flames at a reactor gas pressure a thousand times lower than the boundary pressure postulated by the previous models as the pressure below which the diffusion region of chain termination cannot be formed. __________ Translated from Fizika Goreniya i Vzryva, Vol. 42, No. 2, pp. 10–18, March–April, 2006.